Bisnow June 16,, 2023 reported that Brookfield “Dealing With Debt Issues At 8 Shopping Malls’,  and as one example, their Woodbridge Center mall in north Jersey lost one of it’s anchors, Sears, in 2020. The occupancy is at 63% and isn’t covering the debt. In 2014 the mall was worth $366 million but is now…Read More→

I like what San Francisco just did to make it easier to convert existing commercial buildings to housing. It also opened up the type of businesses allowed in Unio Square and the larger downtown area. In the San Francisco Business Times  June 13, 2023, “The city currently has an office vacancy rate of close to…Read More→

  We reported recently that the 312,000 square foot anchor tenant, Nordstrom’s, was shutting down after 35 years, and if you have ever walked on Market Street where the center is located you would experience the huge homeless and drug problems that scare shoppers away. Office occupancy in San Francisco is the lowest in the…Read More→

E-Commerce be darned, the Third Quarter 2022 Colliers Retail Market update shows the national retail vacancy rate at 4.3%. Compare this with the national office vacancy rate of 12%!  Malls are posting an 8.7% vacancy rate. There is 61.5 million square feet of new retail space under construction. NNN rental rates on an annual basis…Read More→

I was at a recent commercial real estate brokers meeting where the topic touched on the high cost of converting big and medium retail boxes to accommodate smaller-sized retail tenants. Taking a former CVS or RiteAid building of 35,000 square feet and demising it to fit 2-3 smaller tenants could cost the landlord $100/sf or…Read More→

Austin is leading the pack, with 53% of its workers back in the office. Los Angeles checks in at 40% and New York at 36%, but San Francisco is still at the bottom with only 31% of workers coming back to the office. This is having a negative impact on the City of San Francisco’s…Read More→

At a recent commercial brokers meeting filled with industry experts…apartment house cap rates in the Bay Area are averaging 4.3%, even though apartment vacancy rates have almost doubled since the pre-pandemic, going from 4% two years ago to 7.6% currently. The eviction moratorium is about to expire in many regions and this might cause a…Read More→

There is a report out today from the University of Chicago’s Becker Friedman Institute for Economics that predicts due to the post-pandemic work-from-home shift there will be a potential impact on downtowns and retail that formerly relied on office workers as their customers. Just think, even if employees were allowed to work from home just…Read More→

In the SF Business Times April 1, 2021, John McNellis, who is one of the top Retail industry gurus, reflected on what retail types thrived during the past years pandemic, and which didn’t. Home Depot and others in that category had a great year as those stuck at home worked on remodeling projects. Netflix did…Read More→

Retail deals are happening in a number of regions. Restaurants might be getting extensive up-front free rent from the landlords to get them through the pandemic months, and in turn landlords may be going to their lenders to try to get loan restructures commensurate with these concessions. I’ve seen national retail reports stating both that…Read More→

Colliers just sent out a brief report on the current state of the national retail market. The good news is Q4 showed signs of recovery, with positive absorption and retail rent collections up to 86%, a huge uptick since the heart of the pandemic. The bad news, 27.6 million square feet of negative absorption in…Read More→

While this may not be the norm everywhere in the United States, here in San Francisco one day’s news release was another blow to not just the office market but much more significant in many ways. First, there was a SF Business Times article that Uber may be quietly shopping 300,000 square feet of its…Read More→

AtlantaRetail just reported in Bisnow that the 560,000 square foot Town Center at Cobb mall was foreclosed by Deutsche Bank Feb. 2, 2021, receiving no bids at the foreclosure auction. The mall was valued at $322 million in 2012, but dropped to only $120 million at time of foreclosure. The Cobb Country Commissioner, JoAnn Birrell…Read More→

According to the East Bay Times reporter George Avalos, California lost 1.41 million jobs last year. Ouch! Michael Bernick, employment attorney with Duane Morris and former EDD Director, said “We are looking at a much more gradual recovery than first hoped, and a lot of jobs that were lost are going to be lost permanently,…Read More→

At a recent webinar where I forecast what was going to happen in the various commercial real estate segments over the next few years we had several surveys. One was asking our audience, which included CPA’s, bankers, realtors and lawyers, when they thought the office market was going to return, and the overwhelming consensus was…Read More→

A number of the major fast food restaurants are coming out with new store designs, emphasizing drive-through and take out, and in some cases eliminating the dining option entirely. Burger King has two new concepts, one with three drive-through lanes, one dedicated to delivery drivers, and a parking lot where customers can order through their…Read More→

The downtown San Jose Google 79-acre development currently in planning stages will have 5,900 residential ‘dwelling units’, 500,000 square feet of retail stores, restaurants and cultural buildings, and 7.3 million square feet of office space. In the old days this might translate to 35-45,000 employees, and after Covid is gone may again be at this…Read More→

  A report just out by the California Economic Forecast predicts more doom and gloom than I would have liked to have read. “The economy however is not back to the pre-crisis status. During most of Calendar 2020 and in much of the first half of 2021, ongoing economic restrictions will have resulted in millions…Read More→

In National Real Estate Investor June 2020 Elaine Misonzhnik writes on page 3, “The virus might be with us indefinitely. (The World Health Organization has predicted it might take up to five years to get it under control.) And to declare the end of cities, decide that everyone should work and learn from home permanently…Read More→

Apartment rent collections nationwide which were in the 90+% range the past few months appears to have sunk to the 82% level. Retail rent collections reported in the 25% range. At some point this will impact the banking and financial sectors when landlords cannot pay their mortgages without sufficient rents coming in. Will this lead…Read More→

First, it is important to keep in mind a win-win collaborative negotiation and at almost all costs to avoid litigation and the court system. Tenant asks for three months’ rent relief; Landlord compromises and accepts 50% rent for three months with no repayment. Tenant asks for three months’ rent relief; Landlord accepts 50% rent for…Read More→

Published in the National Real Estate Investor January/February 2020, Jim Costello, SVP of Real Capital predicts industrial will continue growing at double digit rates, many investors and lenders will continue to hate retail, and suggests caution when taking on debt. ”There’s an ugliness of politics entering the investment process in the year ahead. We will…Read More→

Commercial building rooftops – Meet The Jetsons!  Most of you may be too young to remember the cartoon show back in 1962/1963 where everyone was getting to places in their personal flying cars.  Now Uber Elevate is planning a flying car business to use rooftop skyports to pick up and drop off passengers.  With a…Read More→

An excellent article by John Cumbelich, a retail-leasing specialist, who shares the sad news of regional malls and power centers. “… the regional mall, some 400 of which will fail in upcoming years. Another 400 will struggle, leaving only about 250 “fortress” malls that are expected to thrive. On the other hand, he cites Oakland,…Read More→