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1

Two Major San Francisco Office Deals Show Snapshot of Market, and Another Major Oakland Apartment House Goes Back to Lender

May 2, 2025

  45 Fremont Street, San Francisco, a 620,000 square foot Class A office property owned by Shorenstein and Blackstone, goes back to market at direction of  lender Bank of America. With a loan value of $347 million this puts the debt at $560/SF, which pre-covid would make sense but in today’s office sale market with…Read More→

2

A Major Silver Lining-Office To Apartment Conversions Up 400%!

Jan 23, 2024

According to an article published January 22,  2024 in Biznow, office conversions to apartments has risen to over 55,000,”four times higher than the 12,100 conversions in 2021. Looking forward, about 147,000 apartments are on the way in future adaptive reuse projects’,  according to the RentCafe report. Washington D.C. is at the top, with 5,820 apartments, followed by New…Read More→

3

90% Of Maturing CMBS (Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities) Of Office Properties Defaulted At Their Maturity In September

Oct 30, 2023

89% defaulted ($672 million) and 11.1% ($83.7 million) were paid off during September 2023. None were extended or modified, according to Moody’s Analytics.  A new company, Arthroto, has a plan to make conversion of office to residential easier and cheaper by using factory-manufactured components that can be assembled floor by floor without disrupting other floor…Read More→

4

5.2 Million Square Feet of San Francisco Office Space May Be Suited For Housing Conversion!

Sep 13, 2023

If true this could be great news! A recent working report from New York University and Columbia University identified older office buildings that were physically suited for conversion from office to residential. “The papers authors…identified 140 office buildings across San Francisco for which residential conversion could make financial sense. San Francisco, the paper’s authors write,…Read More→

5

Renovated, but Vacant New York Office Building Will House 1,000 Migrants

Sep 8, 2023

Austell Place, a 170,000 sf 100-year-old office building and was renovated in 2019 will now have 1,000 migrants living in the building. It had previously been converted from a 100-year old warehouse to a modern office building. It has floor-to-ceiling windows. I tried to find details of how this office-to-residential conversion will work but at…Read More→

6

Conversions From Office, Retail Mall, To Residential Picking Up

Jun 20, 2023

There was an announcement today about a 41,000 square foot office building in San Rafael, California being turned into 41 studio apartments ‘for those formerly unhoused’. The same Bisnow report also mentioned that Tishman Speyer just secured $150 million in financing to turn a Washington D.C. shopping mall into multifamily. They will demolish the 1970’s…Read More→

7

What A Difference Just A Few Years Make!

Apr 14, 2023

It is hard to believe that during the past twelve months at one point the price of a share of First Republic Bank stock was $171!  Today it is $13/share!  Before the pandemic San Francisco office buildings were selling for $800-1,200/rsf and considered among the best investments in the world. From the SF Business Times…Read More→

8

Bottom Line, Conversion of Office To Residential Usually Not Financially Feasible

Apr 3, 2023

SPUR and ULI San Francisco along with Gensler and HR&A Advisors did a study regarding the feasibility of converting office buildings to residential projects. “Because of their physical characteristics, office buildings in San Francisco are stronger candidates for conversion than office buildings in other cities in North America. For projects to be financially feasible, the value…Read More→

9

For The Second Straight Year, Almost 1% of California Residents Moved To Another State

Dec 26, 2022

According to the Census Bureau data, for the year ending July 1, 2022, 343,000 California residents left the state. However, 106,000 births and 125,700 net international immigration  resulting in a net loss of 113,000. Meanwhile, Texas grew by 470,00, Florida by 416,000 and North Carolina by 133,000.  Of course, with our limited water supply and…Read More→

10

Between 2018 and 2021, 352 Corporate Headquarters Have Left California

Oct 27, 2022

Between 2018 and 2021, 352 Corporate headquarters have left California. The three top relocation destinations were Texas, Tennesee and Nevada. The main reasons given for thir exodus include California’s high taxes, the cost of living, the heavy regulations and the legal environment. Of the 153 that left just last year, 80 dwere from Los Angeles,…Read More→

11

San Francisco Greater Bay Area Predicted to Grow By 4.8% in 2022

Oct 25, 2022

  As reported in the San Francisco Business Times October 18, 2022, “Layoffs and economic uncertainty notwithstanding, the Bay Area is expected to enjoy economic growth of 4.8% this year, fueled by what remains strong performance from the tech sector, according to new research from the Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise. The report, 2022’s Fastest-Growing…Read More→

12

Are 20 Cities Who Will Pay You To Move There!

Oct 22, 2022

In the October 21, 2022 San Francisco Business Times article, 20 cities were mentioned that will pay folks to pack up and move to their city. Here are a few examples, and the incentives range from giving you a discount on buying a home there, unlimited golf membership, free use of co-working spaces, free fitness…Read More→

13

Office and Industrial Real Estate Slowdown

Oct 20, 2022

  The CIM Group out of Los Angeles had plans for a 1.1 million square foot office tower in downtown Oakland, but is now proposing a 487 foot tower to build 600 residential units. This would be the tallest building in Oakland. According to CoStar News, “While to pivot is a boost of momentum for…Read More→

14

A Great Example Of Making Money In Bay Area Commercial Real Estate

Sep 7, 2022

TheRegistry published on Spt. 6. 2022 where in 2015 Northwestern Mutual paid $37.8 million for the 100 unit Arroyo Residences apartment complex in downtown Walnut Creek at 1250 Arroyo Way, and now Rockwood Capital just purchased this property for $66 million, $440,000 per unit. The property is a half-mile walk from Bart, walking distance to…Read More→

15

Great Economic News, and More Great News!

Aug 19, 2022

Colliers just released a bullet list for August of a few  of the very positive news clips out. Blackstone, one of the biggest commercial real estate investment companies in the world, just raised 24.1 billion for its latest real estate fund, ‘the largest fundraise on record’. “July’s job report marks the return of full-pre-pandemic employment…Read More→

16

Roblox Leasing 430,000 square feet of San Mateo Office Space

Mar 18, 2022

  This has huge implications not just as a major office deal, but one that was signed while we are still struggling to get workers back into the office. Additionally this is a major signal to the world that despite high income taxes, high energy costs, high housing costs, a homeless problem the San Francisco…Read More→

17

Office Building Conversion To Homeless Housing

Feb 22, 2022

I don’t see this as a new national trend to take care of two problems at once but in San Pablo, a city in Northern California a small two-story office building is being converted to 54 small apartments, In this region office vacancies went up fro almost 10% to 18%. “There’s  just a ton of…Read More→

18

The Bay Area Exodus Might Be Slowing

Jun 18, 2021

Updater is a relocation app that helps Americans with various tasks that come up with a relocation, such as hooking up to Internet, getting your mail forwarded, updating your various records, etc. They track who is going where in the U.S.  From migration analysis of 300,000 moves, less folks are leaving San Francisco than in…Read More→

19

Survey of 30,000 U.S. workers Say Work-From-Home To Rise From 5% To 20%

May 28, 2021

Bisnow reported today on a Stanford and Hoover Institution working paper titled ‘Why Working From Home Will Stick’ ‘that the amount of work undertaken from home in the U.S. will rise from about 5% before the pandemic to about 20% after the pandemic. They surveyed 30,000 U.S. workers multiple times and asked them to report…Read More→

20

Most Employers Thinking Of Leaving The Bay Area Plan To Leave California

May 4, 2021

The Bay Area Council surveyed 1,000 voters and 47% said they might leave the bay Area over the next few years. Of that group, 88% said they would leave California, The respondents citing high taxes, the high cost of living and housing costs doubled over the past few years. Texas, Arizona and New Mexico were…Read More→

21

Surprise, It Is Still ‘California Is the Place To Be!”

Apr 27, 2021

  Even though some of you think California is losing all our major corporations and tons of our residents, and yes, we are letting a few out of this paradise of high taxes, high utilities,  and sometimes challenging politics, but the San Francisco Business Times reported on today’s Time Magazine 100 Most Influential Company list…Read More→

22

California’s Job Market Should Outpace The Nation but…

Mar 12, 2021

According to George Avalos, business reporter for the East Bay Times, “California’s job market should outpace the nation’s employment performance during 2021 – but remain two years away from climbing  back to the record job totals the state reached in early 2020” according to the UCLA Anderson Forecast just out. Also, the report cast doubt…Read More→

23

The Office Market Is Going Up and Down at the Same Time!

Mar 11, 2021

On the one hand you have Salesforce just announcing it was putting 225,000 sf of San Francisco office space on the sublease market (on top of the 8+ million square feet already on that market) as well as cancelling a 325,000 sf office lease near its Salesforce Tower that had yet to be built. Bad…Read More→

24

Your Company Allows You To Work From Home, You Relocate To a Lower-Cost Region, Buy a Home, Move your Family, Then Your Company Changes Its Mind

Mar 2, 2021

There have been a number of major tech and finance companies over the past nine months who have announced long-term stay-at-home policies, prompting thousands of employees to uproot their families, relocate to a much less expensive region, purchase a new home, and begin to enjoy life with less financial stress. Many companies have had detailed…Read More→

25

Major Corporations Continue Downsizing

Feb 9, 2021

While this may not be the norm everywhere in the United States, here in San Francisco one day’s news release was another blow to not just the office market but much more significant in many ways. First, there was a SF Business Times article that Uber may be quietly shopping 300,000 square feet of its…Read More→

26

Silicon Valley One Of The Nation’s Hottest Office Markets

Feb 8, 2021

According to a recent report by CBRE, Silicon Valley will be one of the hottest markets, nationwide, for future office development. “The San Jose metro area, defined as Santa Clara County, is touted as the No. 1 market for future development of office space and is also seen as an excellent market for retail and…Read More→

27

Government Budgets Across The Country Are Stressed

Feb 8, 2021

I’ve been reading report after report documenting and predicting the dire budget strife due to the impact of the Pandemic on business closures, tax revenues severely decreased, and costs relating to vaccination, testing, school readiness during the Pandemic and other costly issues which have stressed government entities across the U.S. San Francisco, 400 million shortfall,…Read More→

28

In Some Regions Distressed Hotels Being Bought Pennies On the Dollar for Conversion

Feb 5, 2021

Diana Olick wrote an article Feb. 4, 2021 citing the affordable housing stock now 96-99% occupied, while in some communities many hotels are sitting empty due to the pandemic, with 18% behind on their mortgages as of December 2020 as compared with only 2% the prior year. Developers are taking advantage of this, purchasing distressed…Read More→

29

White-collar Jobs Leave Bay Area To Benefit Elsewhere

Feb 5, 2021

In 2020 Austin, Texas saw a 5.8% year-over-year job growth, Boise Idaho enjoyed a 2.9% growth, Dallas 2.8%; Seattle 2.35; Denver 1.7% and Nashville 1.2%, which on the other side of this equation San Francisco and San Jose each lost 2.6% of their jobs in the finance, information and professional services catagories…I’ve heard stories of…Read More→

30

Office Space May Be Down But Not Out

Feb 4, 2021

  Even though in many regions in the United States there is a flood of office sublease space and there are reports that Corporate America may be giving up 25% of all their office space, long-term, due to partial or total remote working, there are still tens of millions of feet of new office projects…Read More→

31

It is Definitely Not A Good Sign When Major Corporations Start Selling Their Campuses

Jan 25, 2021

Last week Oracle placed three of their Peninsula office buildings on the for-sale market, after announcing a few weeks ago they were moving their headquarters to Texas. Now NetApp just announced they will sell their 702,200 square foot Sunnyvale office campus. They have not announced leaving California…yet.  I started researching all the links to states…Read More→

32

Quote From February 2020 Newsletter Unfortunately Comes True

Jan 20, 2021

  In case you weren’t aware I have been writing and publishing a newsletter, Corporate Office Perspectives, for the past 43 years and it goes out to tens of thousands of subscribers every other month. If you would like a free subscription just go to www.officetimes.com to sign up. In my February 2020 was the…Read More→

33

New survey shows 29% of C-suite executives considering moving their operations out of state or country

Jan 20, 2021

In a survey of 150 C-suite executives conducted by the firm West Monroe, 29% are considering relocating their operations out of state or out of the country due to the high cost of living and high tax burdens. The top relocation is Texas, and the largest region of where these companies will be relocated from…Read More→

34

Are Elevators Safe During A Pandemic?

Nov 11, 2020

I’ve been researching just how safe elevators are during a pandemic, and while the risk factor might be low, you are still better off not having to ride in one. Is the cab small, limited to just one or two people, or  is it a larger elevator cab that can hold 4 standing 6 feet…Read More→

35

Two Major Northern California Lab and Office Campuses Show Long-Term Strength

Oct 13, 2020

The downtown San Jose Google 79-acre development currently in planning stages will have 5,900 residential ‘dwelling units’, 500,000 square feet of retail stores, restaurants and cultural buildings, and 7.3 million square feet of office space. In the old days this might translate to 35-45,000 employees, and after Covid is gone may again be at this…Read More→

36

San Francisco Apartment Rents Down 20%, Office Markets May Take Until 2025 To Recover

Oct 6, 2020

According to SocketSite, which tracks the San Francisco rental market, year-over-year apartment rents were down 20S%. The Bay Area regional planning agency, The Metropolitan Transportation Commission, is considering a mandate that large Bay Area employers have 6-% of their work force permanently work from home. Reported in today’s  East Bay Times, ‘Significant increases in available…Read More→

37

San Francisco Office Vacancy Rate Doubled in 2nd Quarter

Sep 1, 2020

San Francisco now has an estimated 6.5 million square feet of office sublease space. Direct Class A rents are still among the highest in the country, averaging $84 an annual square foot, but Class B rates are now in the $50-60/rsf range. In the Bay Area several companies have announced they will relocate their headquarters…Read More→

38

California commercial real estate expected to expand in 2022

Feb 12, 2020

California commercial real estate is expected to expand in 2022, according to the UCLA Anderson Forecast survey. The developers surveyed felt that 2020 would see a slight slowdown. The panelists were optimistic about industrial and multi-family, and in general pessimistic about retail. The only impediment to multi-family was the lack of qualified labor and resulting…Read More→

39

Tenant Amenities Worthy of Consideration

Dec 26, 2019

Buildings Magazine November 2019 had an article on what amenities tenants should be investing in. Sodexo surveyed 3,593 employees around the world, and here are some of the results: For ‘Experience Enhancers’, Café or restaurant 71%; medical services/clinic: 66%; Car sharing or shuttle services: 62%; vending services: 61%. For ‘Experience Essentials’, Cleaning of the workplace:…Read More→

40

Get Paid $10,000 to leave the Bay Area, but on the other hand Oakland and San Jose renters among the nation’s Top 10 Happiest!

Nov 12, 2019

A new startup called MainStreet entices employees frustrated by the high costs of the Bay Area by paying them $10,000 to relocate to a less expensive locale like Salt Lake City or Sacramento, they keep their tech jobs and work remotely from A co-working location where 20 people from 7 or 8 different companies may…Read More→

41

The Bay Area is Too Expensive But So What?

Oct 30, 2019

What, haven’t you heard about the Bay Area’s outrageous cost of housing and California’s crazy high tax structure? You could expand anywhere in the United States, go where the average price of a decent home is $250,000 or less, which might be just the down payment in the Bay Area! Then again, if you were…Read More→

42

Bay Area Housing Playing Catch Up with Tech, Facebook CEO says

Oct 14, 2019

“Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg said during a publicly broadcast Q & A with employees that his company is looking elsewhere for growth because of the Bay Area’s housing and traffic issues. The infrastructure here is really tapped. Housing prices are way up. Traffic is bad.” “Facebook’s largest locations outside of the Bay Area are Seattle,…Read More→

43

Bay Area Housing Shortage

Jul 8, 2019

Yes, the Bay Area has a severe housing shortage.  Here is an example of why: “Almost 400 projects in the city (San Francisco) comprising 36,909 units have been approved for over two years but haven’t started construction, according to the planning department.  Of those, 6,095 are affordable.  Developers point fingers directly at local impact fees…Read More→

Jeffrey Weil, CCIM, MCR.h, SIOR

Executive Vice President
San Francisco Bay Area
1850 Mt. Diablo Blvd., Suite 200
Walnut Creek, Ca 94507
CA Lic. 00786195
Phone: +1 925 279 5590
License #: CA-00786195
Email: jeff.weil@colliers.com

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Contact Information:

  • Jeffrey Weil
  • Colliers International
  • 1850 Mt. Diablo Blvd., Suite 200
  • +1 (925) 279 5590
  • jeff.weil@colliers.com
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Contact Information

  • Jeffrey Weil
  • Colliers International
  • 1850 Mount Diablo Blvd., suite 200
  • CA Lic. 00786195
  • +1 (925) 279 5590
  • jeff.weil@colliers.com
  • www.officetimes.com

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